| Guthrum's Estimated Final Table 22:21 - Apr 7 with 2212 views | Guthrum |
After tonight's game.
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| Guthrum's Estimated Final Table on 22:28 - Apr 7 with 2082 views | SitfcB |
No more losses.
I wish. |  |
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| Guthrum's Estimated Final Table on 22:32 - Apr 7 with 2061 views | Guthrum |
| Guthrum's Estimated Final Table on 22:28 - Apr 7 by SitfcB |
No more losses.
I wish. |
The last time we lost a game was 21st February. Since which we are W5 D3 GD+9, conceding just 6 goals (3 of them in one match). | |
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| Guthrum's Estimated Final Table on 22:39 - Apr 7 with 2002 views | John_Warks_Willy |
Well, I agree we’ll finish second now….i guess a couple of losses along the way though |  |
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| Guthrum's Estimated Final Table on 22:56 - Apr 7 with 1901 views | Wacko |
Genuine question, but have you ever done an assessment of what percentage of these actually end up being correct? |  |
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| Guthrum's Estimated Final Table on 22:56 - Apr 7 with 1896 views | J2BLUE |
Boro to lose 4/5? Or 3/4 without our game? Hmm. Assuming they beat Sheff Wed that means they would be losing Saturday. Let's hope so. [Post edited 7 Apr 23:37]
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| Guthrum's Estimated Final Table on 22:58 - Apr 7 with 1872 views | GlasgowBlue |
| Guthrum's Estimated Final Table on 22:28 - Apr 7 by SitfcB |
No more losses.
I wish. |
Probably based on the fact we are unbeaten since February. |  |
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| Guthrum's Estimated Final Table on 22:58 - Apr 7 with 1884 views | mellowblue |
Gosh, Boro are going to fall apart, 3 points in 5 games and then have to face Soton in the playoffs. | | | |
| Guthrum's Estimated Final Table on 23:06 - Apr 7 with 1826 views | Guthrum |
| Guthrum's Estimated Final Table on 22:56 - Apr 7 by Wacko |
Genuine question, but have you ever done an assessment of what percentage of these actually end up being correct? |
No, not really much point. In any case, they are a moving target as fixtures are played and form shifts. Ultimately, they become 100% correct at the end of the season, as there are no longer any games left and the outstanding balance (taken from form) is zero.
These tables are not so much a prediction of precise totals - Edit: let alone results - (even if presented that way), but rather an indication of how trends based upon form would affect the final outcome. Basically, if things continue how they have been, roughly where would each team finish. [Post edited 7 Apr 23:08]
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| Guthrum's Estimated Final Table on 23:10 - Apr 7 with 1777 views | Cafe_Newman |
| Guthrum's Estimated Final Table on 22:28 - Apr 7 by SitfcB |
No more losses.
I wish. |
Six weeks ago I said this and it's still valid.
https://www.twtd.co.uk/forum/6 |  |
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| Guthrum's Estimated Final Table on 23:13 - Apr 7 with 1764 views | Cafe_Newman |
| Guthrum's Estimated Final Table on 23:06 - Apr 7 by Guthrum |
No, not really much point. In any case, they are a moving target as fixtures are played and form shifts. Ultimately, they become 100% correct at the end of the season, as there are no longer any games left and the outstanding balance (taken from form) is zero.
These tables are not so much a prediction of precise totals - Edit: let alone results - (even if presented that way), but rather an indication of how trends based upon form would affect the final outcome. Basically, if things continue how they have been, roughly where would each team finish. [Post edited 7 Apr 23:08]
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The thing I like most about these tables is that you only ever publish them after a Town win. It keeps the forum much happier. It's much appreciated. | |
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| Guthrum's Estimated Final Table on 23:21 - Apr 7 with 1718 views | Guthrum |
| Guthrum's Estimated Final Table on 23:13 - Apr 7 by Cafe_Newman |
The thing I like most about these tables is that you only ever publish them after a Town win. It keeps the forum much happier. It's much appreciated. |
Not actually true (altho it may have seemed that way in some recent seasons). I feel it would be dishonest to do that.
Obviously, being a fan, I prefer to see positive predictions for Town. But this is purely a mathematical procedure, I can't fudge the outcome. It doesn't work until a bit after the half-way point of the season and becomes a little pointless right at the end. But from late February through March and April I try to do them fairly regularly.
First started doing it in 2013, during McCarthy's great escape from relegation. There is a sizeable archive. | |
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| Guthrum's Estimated Final Table on 01:44 - Apr 8 with 1429 views | Cafe_Newman |
| Guthrum's Estimated Final Table on 23:21 - Apr 7 by Guthrum |
Not actually true (altho it may have seemed that way in some recent seasons). I feel it would be dishonest to do that.
Obviously, being a fan, I prefer to see positive predictions for Town. But this is purely a mathematical procedure, I can't fudge the outcome. It doesn't work until a bit after the half-way point of the season and becomes a little pointless right at the end. But from late February through March and April I try to do them fairly regularly.
First started doing it in 2013, during McCarthy's great escape from relegation. There is a sizeable archive. |
Well it's certainly true for this season. You've published the table 8 times, only twice after draws, the rest after wins and studiously avoided doing so after our solitary loss against Wrexham in February. | |
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| Guthrum's Estimated Final Table on 07:28 - Apr 8 with 1124 views | homer_123 |
| Guthrum's Estimated Final Table on 22:58 - Apr 7 by mellowblue |
Gosh, Boro are going to fall apart, 3 points in 5 games and then have to face Soton in the playoffs. |
Well, they are already in the throes of falling apart! |  |
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| Guthrum's Estimated Final Table on 17:01 - Apr 11 with 381 views | J2BLUE |
| Guthrum's Estimated Final Table on 22:56 - Apr 7 by J2BLUE |
Boro to lose 4/5? Or 3/4 without our game? Hmm. Assuming they beat Sheff Wed that means they would be losing Saturday. Let's hope so. [Post edited 7 Apr 23:37]
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I bow to your superior wisdom Guffers! | |
| "I am a genuine believer in free speech, in the real sense, not the left wing sense, the 'I think free speech is important for people I agree with' Guardian readers" - Jonathan Pie ///// "These middle class, perma-offended, virtue-signalling woke w@nkers have declared that the great unwashed are just one tasteless joke away from turning into fascists" - Jonathan Pie ///// "In a sense, the political left’s attempts to silence ideas they cannot, or will not, debate are a confession of intellectual bankruptcy" - Thomas Sowell
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