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Looks like Starmer is getting a little worried 09:48 - Jun 17 with 2399 viewsZx1988

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/art

To be honest I hadn't realised how much of a sure thing the bookies are making of this one. The best odds seem to be as follows:

Labour - 1/5
Reform - 11/2
Restore - 28/1
All others - >1,000/1

I'm expecting it to be a closer fight than the bookies think. Or is it the case that the presence (and growing popularity) of Restore is probably going to split the vote enough in Labour's favour, alongside no small amount of tactical voting by Green/Lib Dem supporters?

You ain't a beauty but, hey, you're alright.
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Looks like Starmer is getting a little worried on 15:43 - Jun 17 with 409 viewsBlueschev

Looks like Starmer is getting a little worried on 15:17 - Jun 17 by J2BLUE

What difference would it make to your trip?


The fact that he seems to enjoy popular support there doesn't make me feel especially comfortable. I'd rather visit somewhere that didn't elect a borderline Neo-Nazi as the local MP.
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Looks like Starmer is getting a little worried on 19:08 - Jun 17 with 341 viewsWhos_blue

Looks like Starmer is getting a little worried on 14:59 - Jun 17 by Zx1988

The evidence he posted for this on Monday is more than a little circumstantial:



On the same basis, here's my evidence that I've taken a 5fer at the Gabba:



Bowling ZX. Bowling.

"Look, I don't wanna be the same as everybody else. That's why I'm a Mod, see?"

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Looks like Starmer is getting a little worried on 09:23 - Jun 18 with 280 viewsflykickingbybgunn

Looks like Starmer is getting a little worried on 13:26 - Jun 17 by positivity

so this bloke called rupert, worked in banking, now a grifting "politician", thinks lawyers and accountants are leeches?!

born with a silver spoon in his mouth, bankrolled by a trillionaire, yet thinks he's down with "honest blue collar workers"?!

would be the funniest joke ever, if he wasn't so dangerous


Unemployment rising, record levels of taxation. Voters losing faith in the two old parties that traditionally shared the centre between them.
People turning to extremists at each end who pretend to offer the world.
Britain in 2026 or Germany in the 1930's ?
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Looks like Starmer is getting a little worried on 09:37 - Jun 18 with 259 viewsitfcjoe

Looks like Starmer is getting a little worried on 10:05 - Jun 17 by Zx1988

I do wonder if Restore will do even more damage to Reform's chances in the longer term?

They'll either steal from them their extreme right voters, or Reform will lurch ever further to the right (as we've seen in the last week or so) in order to try and retain said voters, which may well serve to alienate the softer side of their support, who have more in common with the Tories than Restore.


Anecdotal evidence from Reform door knockers I read in the paper the other day is they basically get told they are 'Too Racist' by half the people, and 'Not Racist Enough' by the other half

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Looks like Starmer is getting a little worried on 09:39 - Jun 18 with 257 viewsitfcjoe

Looks like Starmer is getting a little worried on 11:31 - Jun 17 by Kievthegreat

Reform's biggest weakness is that it's very difficult for them to get much more support than their peak in 2025. There is about 60% of the electorate who massively dislike Reform and Farage and probably would never vote for him/them under any circumstances. That's workable because in a fractured FPTP system, 30-35% could potentially return a supermajority.

However if Restore start peeling off the edges, then Reform see that weakness get even more critical as they would no longer have a monopoly on the far right. They could end up in a conundrum like the Tories and Labour before them. If you try to move your party more towards one direction, you lose people at the other end of your coalition. If Reform start peeling away to Restore or chase them and scare people back to the Tories, then suddenly expected Reform gains from Tories become toss-ups and this absurd electoral situation get's even weirder.

Given how hard Musk is interfering and pushing Restore, I think it's a massive concern for Reform and Farage.


Nigel Farage is having done to him, what he has done to the Tories over the last 10-15 years - and he hates it.

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Looks like Starmer is getting a little worried on 10:39 - Jun 18 with 192 viewsKievthegreat

Looks like Starmer is getting a little worried on 09:39 - Jun 18 by itfcjoe

Nigel Farage is having done to him, what he has done to the Tories over the last 10-15 years - and he hates it.


Does this mean in 10-15 years time, someone is going to outflank Rupert?

At that point they'd probably be going full goosestep!
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